Sem categoria

The Jordanian Safeguard

Revising and Revisiting a Three-State Solution The Israeli-Palestinian Conflict’s wide-reaching problems were the target of many summits along the years. Some came close to solving the situation lived in this region of the Middle East, but none were enough to definitively put an end to it, only managing to establish a precedence and a framework on...

Kazakhstan, the CSTO, Armenia and role of Russian regional power

As popular protests spread across Kazakhstan at the beginning of January 2022, President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev triggered the mutual defence agreement of the Collective Security Treaty Organisation, which resulted in the dispatch of a 2,500 strong Russian led peacekeeping force to the Central Asian state. The current chair of the CSTO, and Prime Minister of Armenia,...

China’s Black Swan: Is Evergrande the pin that finally pops the bubble?

Earlier this year, Bloomberg Chief Economist - Thomas Orlik - released his laudable research into China’s debt-fuelled growth over the past two decades (China: The Bubble that Never Bursts). In the account he retraces the expansion of lending to private and public companies by China’s banks that has underwritten exponential development in key strategic areas...

IAN’s Week in Review: GDP falls less in Germany than in other European countries

The last of the largest EU countries to release its activity data, Germany'statistics showed the economy shrinked by 2,2%qoq in Q1. Though Germany is now offically in recession, after a downward revision in Q4 GDP, the decline in Q1 was less dramatic than in France (-5.8 %), Spain (-5.2%) and Italy (-4.7%). This may reflect...

IAN’s Week in Review: German Constitutional Court rules on ECB, surveillance becomes a priority

In Europe, the German Constitutional Court ruled that the ECB will have to provide additional information on PSPP programme, which was launched during the previous debt crisis, to support Member States with large debts, otherwise it will force the Bundesbank to retreat from that programme. The Court ruled that the ECB programme did not amount...

IAN’s Week in Review: GDP falls off the cliff in Q1 as economies prepare to gradually open up

GDP data showed the extent of the corona-virus led recession, whith sharp falls in Europe and in the US. In the Euro Area GDP was down 3.8% in Q1 relative to the previous quarter, while estimates for France, Italy and Spain, three of countries most deeply affected by this crisis, showed drops of 5.8%, 4.7%...